This has been a year in which there have been more financial and political shocks worldwide than normal.Growing populations have become more restive and even rebellious as the recession lingered on. At year end America is well on the way to recovery and the first sprigs of recovery are seen in Europe and Asia. As always Africa is lagging.
How ever a pleasing change has been seen on the African Continent as populations strive for more accountability and less graft top of government officials. This is playing itself out especially here in South Africa as we strive to avoid downgrades in our borrowing to junk status. As many other major countries have failed this test of morality we have for a second time avoided this fate.
It must be remembered that we produce 80% of the world platinum group metals and also a full range of base metals and minerals.
How ever at the present price of platinum, around $900 per ounce it is being produced at a loss. There is already a shortage of 20% in ounces, per annum, built up and as fuel cells and other catalytic converters are needed for cleaner air become the vogue. In the last ten years the price has suddenly spurted by a couple of hundred USA dollars per ounce! this exciting event can happen again. Do remember it takes five years to ramp up and open mothballed areas in existing mines and a great deal longer in new developments!
I wish all our readers,Google and our advertisers all the best for 2017.
Thursday, December 1, 2016
Tuesday, November 1, 2016
THE NEXT PHASE IN METALS AND MINERALS USE Part 2 MINING MODERISATION
All systems are go to arrest the present decline in mining activity, and overcome the obstacles out there. The easy mining ore bodies are fast becoming the thing of the past.
Public and private companies, with workers are beginning to work together to preserve jobs, income and tax revenue.
Modernising and research into methods of refining especially in South Africa which has always been a world leader in this regard as during the last hundred years we were the world leaders in production of platinum group metals ,gold and diamonds. An added source of income is the production of equipment to further these activities now been developed.
These activities will lead to sustainability of the mining environment over the next half century.
Of great importance now is safety of workers at extreme depths in tunnels and difficult mining circumstances.
Remote control of machines will keep workers out of harms way for the most part in dangerous areas. Narrower machines are already working and more innovative ones are being built.
Backfill of pulverised rock now has many advantages as it stabilises the ground in worked out areas avoids unsightly heaps of ground and in generally more environmentally friendly.
The greatest advances are continually been made in refining of complicated metals such as precious metals as well as more basic metals in seperation by using enzymes instead of the old methods such as sieves to seperate the various elements from the waste rocks. This also results in greater recoveries and more profits.
IT MIGHT BE A GOOD IDEA TO ALSO READ PART 1 PUBLISHED IN SEPTEMBER ALSO THE STRIPPING OF RESOURCE ASSETS mentioned in the posts in the side-bar to get a continuity picture of the whole subject in South Africa.
For the latest on Stocks go to... Abacus Top stock tips.... and bookmark the post.
Public and private companies, with workers are beginning to work together to preserve jobs, income and tax revenue.
Modernising and research into methods of refining especially in South Africa which has always been a world leader in this regard as during the last hundred years we were the world leaders in production of platinum group metals ,gold and diamonds. An added source of income is the production of equipment to further these activities now been developed.
These activities will lead to sustainability of the mining environment over the next half century.
Of great importance now is safety of workers at extreme depths in tunnels and difficult mining circumstances.
Remote control of machines will keep workers out of harms way for the most part in dangerous areas. Narrower machines are already working and more innovative ones are being built.
Backfill of pulverised rock now has many advantages as it stabilises the ground in worked out areas avoids unsightly heaps of ground and in generally more environmentally friendly.
The greatest advances are continually been made in refining of complicated metals such as precious metals as well as more basic metals in seperation by using enzymes instead of the old methods such as sieves to seperate the various elements from the waste rocks. This also results in greater recoveries and more profits.
IT MIGHT BE A GOOD IDEA TO ALSO READ PART 1 PUBLISHED IN SEPTEMBER ALSO THE STRIPPING OF RESOURCE ASSETS mentioned in the posts in the side-bar to get a continuity picture of the whole subject in South Africa.
For the latest on Stocks go to... Abacus Top stock tips.... and bookmark the post.
Thursday, September 1, 2016
THE NEXT PHASE IN METALS AND MINERALS USE Part 1
First of all lets take stock of the present position ! The world is in such a deep recession that although newly mined material in many circumstances does not nearly cover the present use of these minerals and metals and in other instances just about does.
Where then is the supply coming from ,one may ask? Obviously from stock piles built up in the past years.
Prices are very low and in some instances continue to fall. Production is falling even faster and in some cases there are delays in being able to have a continuity of supply. In the past alarm bells would have been ringing and money that is needed to ramp up production would be forthcoming for the obvious boom to follow!
Not this time as governments have messed up their economies with quantitative easing etc. spending and printing money they have no backing for and it seems keeping the recession/depression going ad-infinitum!
The good news is that we need these mined products to keep and expand our lifestyle as populations in developing economies keep growing and in first world countries grow older.
Eventually demand will return and then there will be explosive activity to try to supply these products in the shortest time.
To make ends meet mines are sticking to old methods at the moment and to ramp up sustainable production would take at least five years. Billions of US$ would required to start new workings would take at least a ramp up period of ten years to reach full production in most ventures, but first investors must be sure that there must be a sustainable need for that particular metal or mineral!
Where then is the supply coming from ,one may ask? Obviously from stock piles built up in the past years.
Prices are very low and in some instances continue to fall. Production is falling even faster and in some cases there are delays in being able to have a continuity of supply. In the past alarm bells would have been ringing and money that is needed to ramp up production would be forthcoming for the obvious boom to follow!
Not this time as governments have messed up their economies with quantitative easing etc. spending and printing money they have no backing for and it seems keeping the recession/depression going ad-infinitum!
The good news is that we need these mined products to keep and expand our lifestyle as populations in developing economies keep growing and in first world countries grow older.
Eventually demand will return and then there will be explosive activity to try to supply these products in the shortest time.
To make ends meet mines are sticking to old methods at the moment and to ramp up sustainable production would take at least five years. Billions of US$ would required to start new workings would take at least a ramp up period of ten years to reach full production in most ventures, but first investors must be sure that there must be a sustainable need for that particular metal or mineral!
Saturday, July 2, 2016
RAND STRENGTH
During the whole Brexit fiasco the Rand held up surprisingly well, losing very little against the US Dollar.
As Soon as the initial panic ended it made it all back in three days! Compare this with other countries through out the world where a rout took place as if a comet was threatening the world.
The reason was that longer term mutual funds, large conglomerates and longer term traders are looking to receive a better returns on their investments. Most first world investments such as bonds are now in negative territory ,so large investments are losing money.
First our bonds were in demand again and large cash flows are coming in. Our bonds are still around 7% positive.
Now our mining shares are starting to take off as modest demand to return and risk on investments are coming into vogue again.
ALSO
1.The British Commonwealth will in the long run be better off ,as will British relations with those countries as the European grouping have been urging Britain to cut favourable trade deals to its former empire! South Africa is also a member of the commonwealth.
2. The reason for the no vote winning was the European Union showing little resolution to curb illegal immigration, which any thinking person could see would lead to WORK BECOMING VERY SCARCE AND COUNTRIES STRUGGLING WITH MONIES TO PROVIDE SOCIAL SERVICES FOR THEIR OWN POPULATIONS ,LET ALONE ILLEGAL FOREIGNERS !
As Soon as the initial panic ended it made it all back in three days! Compare this with other countries through out the world where a rout took place as if a comet was threatening the world.
The reason was that longer term mutual funds, large conglomerates and longer term traders are looking to receive a better returns on their investments. Most first world investments such as bonds are now in negative territory ,so large investments are losing money.
First our bonds were in demand again and large cash flows are coming in. Our bonds are still around 7% positive.
Now our mining shares are starting to take off as modest demand to return and risk on investments are coming into vogue again.
ALSO
1.The British Commonwealth will in the long run be better off ,as will British relations with those countries as the European grouping have been urging Britain to cut favourable trade deals to its former empire! South Africa is also a member of the commonwealth.
2. The reason for the no vote winning was the European Union showing little resolution to curb illegal immigration, which any thinking person could see would lead to WORK BECOMING VERY SCARCE AND COUNTRIES STRUGGLING WITH MONIES TO PROVIDE SOCIAL SERVICES FOR THEIR OWN POPULATIONS ,LET ALONE ILLEGAL FOREIGNERS !
Saturday, June 4, 2016
BREATHING SPACE !
THE DECISION WE WERE ALL WAITING FOR, THAT IS TO SEE IF WE WERE TO FALL INTO JUNK (NON INVESTMENT GRADE)WAS AVERTED YESTERDAY .WE ALL GAVE A GREAT SIGH OF RELEF WHEN STANDARD AND POOR KEPT US ONE NOTCH ABOVE THIS STATUS. LATE LAST MONTH MOODY'S EVEN MOVED US UP TWO NOTCHES. THIS GOES TO SHOW WHAT CAN BE ACHIEVED WHEN BUSINESS , THE TRADE UNIONS AND GOVERNMENT ALL WORK TOGETHER FOR THE GOOD OF THE COUNTRY INSTEAD OF SHOUTING AT EACH OTHER. A FURTHER REVEIW WILL BE HELD AT YEAR END SO THERE IS MUCH WORK TO DO. WE ARE STILL THE STRONGEST FISCAL STATE IN AFRICA!
THE CRISES WAS BASICALLY CREATED WHEN THE BOTTOM FELL OUT OF THE RESOURCE PRICES WITH DOWNTURNS IN DEVELOPED AS WELL AS DEVELOPING NATIONS AND HAS PERSISTED FOR A NUMBER OF YEARS. OUR GOVERNMENT WAS VERY LAX AND CONTINUED TO TRY TO SPEND OUR WAY OUT OF THE RECESSION ON BORROWED MONEY.
WE CAN NOT REST ON OUR LAURELS NOW.
A GOOD MOVE WAS TO BRING MR GORDHAN BACK AS THE MINISTER OF FINANCE. THE GOVERNMENT MUST CUT DOWN ON GRAFT WHICH REACHES FROM THE VERY HIGHEST ECHELONS OF STATE STRUCTURES TO THE LOWEST. THIS IS A SERIOUS MATTER. A GOOD START WAS MADE WHEN THE PUBLIC PROTECTOR MADE OUR STATE PRESIDENT PAY FOR PART OF THE UPGRADES TO HIS PRIVATE RESIDENCE.
A MORE OMINOUS SUBJECT WHICH WAS PUT ON THE BACK BURNER WAS THE SOCIALIST MINING CHARTER. IN ITS PRESENT FORM WHICH WOULD ALLOW THE STATE TO IMPOSE IMPOSSIBLE DEMANDS AND AND EVEN SEIZURE IF NOT MET SHOULD BE TOTALLY SCRAPPED,AS MINING COMPANIES CANNOT PAY WORKERS MORE OR CEDE MORE TO THE STATE TAKING THE STATES SHARE TO 50% AS PRICES DECLINE. NO NEW MINES ARE BEEN DEVELOPED AS THIS REQUIRES BILLIONS OF AMERICAN DOLLARS AND WHO WOULD INVEST IN SUCH AN UNCERTAIN COUNTRY,IF THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF THOSE ASSESTS BEEN CONFISCATED ?
AFTER ALL IT TAKE MANY YEARS TO BRING MINES TO PROFITABILITY.
ANOTHER DUMB MOVE, IN ANOTHER BILL STILL IN THE MAKING IS TO FORCE MINING COMPANIES AT THIS CRITICAL TIME TO KEEP A CERTAIN AMOUNT OF THEIR PRODUCTS BACK FOR FURTHER BENEFICATION HERE BEFOR EXPORTING THEM. THIS QUOTA WILL BE DECIDED BY TECHNOCRATS OF THE RULING PARTY. THIS IS SUPPOSED TO BE TO CREATE JOBS, BUT SUCH BENEFICATION IS USUALLY HIGHLY SOPHISCATED,REQUIRING SKILLED WORKERS FROM OUTSIDE OUR REGION , IS UNLIKELY TO CREATE JOBS AND WORST OF ALL , WHERE WOULD WE SELL THESE PRODUCTS?
IN THE COMING MONTHS I SHALL ENDEVOUR TO REPORT ON POSITIVE ASPECTS OF OUR EVENTUAL RECOVERY WHICH IS A MUST.
1 THE NEWEST ADDITIONS TO PAGES ARE MENTIONED AT THE TOP OF THE INDEX ABOVE.
2 SEE THE ADDITIONAL NEW SMALL CAP WINTER AND YEAR LISTS ABOVE
3 Whilst we wait for Brexit to play itself out on the 24 June 2016 maybe visit our revamped site at http://paws2012.blogspot.com for a gentler look at life !
THE CRISES WAS BASICALLY CREATED WHEN THE BOTTOM FELL OUT OF THE RESOURCE PRICES WITH DOWNTURNS IN DEVELOPED AS WELL AS DEVELOPING NATIONS AND HAS PERSISTED FOR A NUMBER OF YEARS. OUR GOVERNMENT WAS VERY LAX AND CONTINUED TO TRY TO SPEND OUR WAY OUT OF THE RECESSION ON BORROWED MONEY.
WE CAN NOT REST ON OUR LAURELS NOW.
A GOOD MOVE WAS TO BRING MR GORDHAN BACK AS THE MINISTER OF FINANCE. THE GOVERNMENT MUST CUT DOWN ON GRAFT WHICH REACHES FROM THE VERY HIGHEST ECHELONS OF STATE STRUCTURES TO THE LOWEST. THIS IS A SERIOUS MATTER. A GOOD START WAS MADE WHEN THE PUBLIC PROTECTOR MADE OUR STATE PRESIDENT PAY FOR PART OF THE UPGRADES TO HIS PRIVATE RESIDENCE.
A MORE OMINOUS SUBJECT WHICH WAS PUT ON THE BACK BURNER WAS THE SOCIALIST MINING CHARTER. IN ITS PRESENT FORM WHICH WOULD ALLOW THE STATE TO IMPOSE IMPOSSIBLE DEMANDS AND AND EVEN SEIZURE IF NOT MET SHOULD BE TOTALLY SCRAPPED,AS MINING COMPANIES CANNOT PAY WORKERS MORE OR CEDE MORE TO THE STATE TAKING THE STATES SHARE TO 50% AS PRICES DECLINE. NO NEW MINES ARE BEEN DEVELOPED AS THIS REQUIRES BILLIONS OF AMERICAN DOLLARS AND WHO WOULD INVEST IN SUCH AN UNCERTAIN COUNTRY,IF THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF THOSE ASSESTS BEEN CONFISCATED ?
AFTER ALL IT TAKE MANY YEARS TO BRING MINES TO PROFITABILITY.
ANOTHER DUMB MOVE, IN ANOTHER BILL STILL IN THE MAKING IS TO FORCE MINING COMPANIES AT THIS CRITICAL TIME TO KEEP A CERTAIN AMOUNT OF THEIR PRODUCTS BACK FOR FURTHER BENEFICATION HERE BEFOR EXPORTING THEM. THIS QUOTA WILL BE DECIDED BY TECHNOCRATS OF THE RULING PARTY. THIS IS SUPPOSED TO BE TO CREATE JOBS, BUT SUCH BENEFICATION IS USUALLY HIGHLY SOPHISCATED,REQUIRING SKILLED WORKERS FROM OUTSIDE OUR REGION , IS UNLIKELY TO CREATE JOBS AND WORST OF ALL , WHERE WOULD WE SELL THESE PRODUCTS?
IN THE COMING MONTHS I SHALL ENDEVOUR TO REPORT ON POSITIVE ASPECTS OF OUR EVENTUAL RECOVERY WHICH IS A MUST.
1 THE NEWEST ADDITIONS TO PAGES ARE MENTIONED AT THE TOP OF THE INDEX ABOVE.
2 SEE THE ADDITIONAL NEW SMALL CAP WINTER AND YEAR LISTS ABOVE
3 Whilst we wait for Brexit to play itself out on the 24 June 2016 maybe visit our revamped site at http://paws2012.blogspot.com for a gentler look at life !
Wednesday, May 4, 2016
SELL IN MAY ?
and go away! Not really ,but do note that resources such as gold ,coal and platinum group metals have soared in the last couple of months , coming off lows and driven by speculators.
There is really no sign that there is an increased demand at this stage. The recovery continues, but at a snails pace.
Best to wait till August before entering any large buying moves.
There is really no sign that there is an increased demand at this stage. The recovery continues, but at a snails pace.
Best to wait till August before entering any large buying moves.
Friday, April 1, 2016
OUR BACKS TO THE WALL!
Our finance minister with years of experience is doing a great job bringing order to our fiscal system.
TRANSFER TO MINING NEWS IN THE INDEX ABOVE FOR THE LATEST ON GOLD AND PLATINUM
How ever as hard as he tries and he has succeeded in bringing almost every one on board even the major trade unions as they see the number of jobs declining due to circumstances world wide.
The major reason is of course that we remain a basic producer of metals and minerals. The demand for these has declined drastically and of course the needs of the poorer citizens have to be met to keep their body and souls alive!
Therefore I RELUCTANTLY forecast that we will be downgraded to junk status(i.e. non investment grade) ,likely this winter. We are held in such good stead that countries such as Brazil and Russia were downgraded a considerable time before us.
The good news is we are unlikely to be downgraded further and not if but when demand for commodities improve we are likely to be upgraded before many other countries of the world.
I hope we have learnt our lesson and in future keep strict fiscal discipline!
TRANSFER TO MINING NEWS IN THE INDEX ABOVE FOR THE LATEST ON GOLD AND PLATINUM
How ever as hard as he tries and he has succeeded in bringing almost every one on board even the major trade unions as they see the number of jobs declining due to circumstances world wide.
The major reason is of course that we remain a basic producer of metals and minerals. The demand for these has declined drastically and of course the needs of the poorer citizens have to be met to keep their body and souls alive!
Therefore I RELUCTANTLY forecast that we will be downgraded to junk status(i.e. non investment grade) ,likely this winter. We are held in such good stead that countries such as Brazil and Russia were downgraded a considerable time before us.
The good news is we are unlikely to be downgraded further and not if but when demand for commodities improve we are likely to be upgraded before many other countries of the world.
I hope we have learnt our lesson and in future keep strict fiscal discipline!
Tuesday, March 1, 2016
ADDITIONAL ASSET CLASSES
Most of us have read at certain times that money is not worth the value of the paper its printed on!
Unfortunately this is turning out to be the norm , more often than we would like!
It was obvious that there was not enough gold in the world to cover all the paper currencies as in the past. Coming up with PAPER GOLD as it was called was not the answer, but the chosen method politicians decided on. It was thought that the working endeavours of ordinary citizens would always be equal to the value of a currency. As time has gone on cracks have started to emerge, but the method of dealing with this situation is to ignore it and never mention the bind we find our selves in.
So this has now led to a even more dangerous phenomenon called the BITCOIN ,which we are told is mined out of thin air, according to a complicated mathematical formula, which no one fully understands with no backing of any kind.
TANGABLE ASSET CLASSES are now forming additional methods of preserving wealth so as all our hard earned value is not lost.
GOLD,PLATINUM GROUP METALS,SILVER ,DIAMONDS ARE TRUE WEALTH PRESERVERS, AS THEY CAN BE USED AND STORED AS BARS,COINS OR AS JEWELLERY OR A COMBINATION OF THESE (EXCUDING DIAMONDS OF COURSE).
ANOTHER ADVANTAGE IS THAT THEY CAN BE EASILY CARRIED OR SOLD.
REAL ESTATE UNLESS IN VEHICLES SUCH AS REITS,, CAN BE A BIND IN TIMES OF DISTRESS AS THE FORMER ARE EASILY DEPOSED OF.
STOCK EXCHANGE SHARES ARE ALSO EASILY DEPOSED OF OR BOUGHT IN THE RIGHT SECTORS,MUCH BETTER THAN FIXED DEPOSITS ETC.
Stamps and paintings might not be easily deposed of in times of stress and similar objects such as antiques.
THE LATEST PAGE UPDATES ARE AT THE TOP ARE ALWAYS AT THE TOP OF THE INDEX ABOVE
Unfortunately this is turning out to be the norm , more often than we would like!
It was obvious that there was not enough gold in the world to cover all the paper currencies as in the past. Coming up with PAPER GOLD as it was called was not the answer, but the chosen method politicians decided on. It was thought that the working endeavours of ordinary citizens would always be equal to the value of a currency. As time has gone on cracks have started to emerge, but the method of dealing with this situation is to ignore it and never mention the bind we find our selves in.
So this has now led to a even more dangerous phenomenon called the BITCOIN ,which we are told is mined out of thin air, according to a complicated mathematical formula, which no one fully understands with no backing of any kind.
TANGABLE ASSET CLASSES are now forming additional methods of preserving wealth so as all our hard earned value is not lost.
GOLD,PLATINUM GROUP METALS,SILVER ,DIAMONDS ARE TRUE WEALTH PRESERVERS, AS THEY CAN BE USED AND STORED AS BARS,COINS OR AS JEWELLERY OR A COMBINATION OF THESE (EXCUDING DIAMONDS OF COURSE).
ANOTHER ADVANTAGE IS THAT THEY CAN BE EASILY CARRIED OR SOLD.
REAL ESTATE UNLESS IN VEHICLES SUCH AS REITS,, CAN BE A BIND IN TIMES OF DISTRESS AS THE FORMER ARE EASILY DEPOSED OF.
STOCK EXCHANGE SHARES ARE ALSO EASILY DEPOSED OF OR BOUGHT IN THE RIGHT SECTORS,MUCH BETTER THAN FIXED DEPOSITS ETC.
Stamps and paintings might not be easily deposed of in times of stress and similar objects such as antiques.
THE LATEST PAGE UPDATES ARE AT THE TOP ARE ALWAYS AT THE TOP OF THE INDEX ABOVE
Monday, February 1, 2016
South African Financial Strength
Visit the index above as the latest page updates are placed first in the index .
Our economic ship has steadied since the appointment of our finance minister Pravin Gordhan has been re-appointed .This man has a good record of managing our financial affairs in the past and was a good choice after the two light weights just before his appointment .As a result the Rand has shown signs of strengthening , at least for the time being!
We are the most stable financial country on the African Continent.
Our government has stuck to the capitalist system for the most part, despite agitation from the far left. Unlike many other states in the world it is easier to remove money quickly from our country as there fewer constraints .
The South African Republic does not go in for "ambush economics" such as Nigeria now seems to be doing. Now that their oil industry is failing and they cannot balance their budget, they have taken to fining all the large companies such as our own MTN ridiculous amounts of money for frivolous reasons. Western world companies are also finding out they also in the line of fire! Surely in the longer term this will negate new companies investing there.
Through its long history South Africa has always paid what it's borrowed from banks in other countries.
Our economic ship has steadied since the appointment of our finance minister Pravin Gordhan has been re-appointed .This man has a good record of managing our financial affairs in the past and was a good choice after the two light weights just before his appointment .As a result the Rand has shown signs of strengthening , at least for the time being!
We are the most stable financial country on the African Continent.
Our government has stuck to the capitalist system for the most part, despite agitation from the far left. Unlike many other states in the world it is easier to remove money quickly from our country as there fewer constraints .
The South African Republic does not go in for "ambush economics" such as Nigeria now seems to be doing. Now that their oil industry is failing and they cannot balance their budget, they have taken to fining all the large companies such as our own MTN ridiculous amounts of money for frivolous reasons. Western world companies are also finding out they also in the line of fire! Surely in the longer term this will negate new companies investing there.
Through its long history South Africa has always paid what it's borrowed from banks in other countries.
Friday, January 1, 2016
NEW YEAR EXPECTATIONS
Our local South African market the JSE is oversold at the moment. Of course our financial state is not good as our balance of payments is not improving with very low demand for our commodities and with rating agencies hovering to reduce us to junk status, as we hold on just one notch above junk at the moment.
How ever there signs of some commodities such as copper , platinum group metals , even iron ore having reached a low plateau now as mines tighten their belts taking steps not to over produce and also following tight business principles ,major producers are ready to ride the bad times as they aim to carry on at break even rates.
We feel that stock prices will not fall further in Rand terms as the USD strengthens our Rand weakens and we receive more income. This is because most of our commodities are rated in USD.
The real recovery in commodity prices is likely only to start taking place toward the middle of 2017 and be in full swing towards the end of 2018!
There is enough information on overseas markets available out there.
Visit the index. above the post regularly. The latest updates are always placed at the top of the index above.
How ever there signs of some commodities such as copper , platinum group metals , even iron ore having reached a low plateau now as mines tighten their belts taking steps not to over produce and also following tight business principles ,major producers are ready to ride the bad times as they aim to carry on at break even rates.
We feel that stock prices will not fall further in Rand terms as the USD strengthens our Rand weakens and we receive more income. This is because most of our commodities are rated in USD.
The real recovery in commodity prices is likely only to start taking place toward the middle of 2017 and be in full swing towards the end of 2018!
There is enough information on overseas markets available out there.
Visit the index. above the post regularly. The latest updates are always placed at the top of the index above.
Friday, December 11, 2015
THE YEAR ENDS
All updates and new lists hopefully be published by the end of February 2016, as we are now closing till that time for a much needed break !
Best wishes for all readers of these posts and hoping we shall all be successful in the new year !
At the moment our local market is plunging as minerals are not needed by the world in sufficient quantities and local politicians are adding to our woes by unfortunate views, moves and statements!
To counter this action we have closed our positions on most local shares and have invested in the NEWUSD
ETF and other overseas shares on our local bourse that are overseas based such as REI. Do watch out for too high PE's and keep alerts and some stop losses in place.
Best wishes for all readers of these posts and hoping we shall all be successful in the new year !
At the moment our local market is plunging as minerals are not needed by the world in sufficient quantities and local politicians are adding to our woes by unfortunate views, moves and statements!
To counter this action we have closed our positions on most local shares and have invested in the NEWUSD
ETF and other overseas shares on our local bourse that are overseas based such as REI. Do watch out for too high PE's and keep alerts and some stop losses in place.
Wednesday, December 2, 2015
CLIMATE CHANGE HYSTERIA
I fully realize it does not help to RAIL against the status quo!
How ever ,it is worth pointing that all and sundry are getting on the band wagon, to score at the expense of the poor tax payer ,including SNAKE OIL SALESMEN !
See small cap update above 2/12/2015
The poorest countries whom, by the way produce the least emissions, want quad-trillions to curb their emissions.
An easier way would be to use the Russian method ,which would be to place a boycott on some of their exports if they do not comply.
The major cause of the excess production of carbon-dioxcide is
of course over population farting and exhaling and not enough afforestation round the world ,especially in Chinese cities to mitigate these effects. Some extremists want to get rid of cattle and other forms of domestic and wild animals. Poor animals produce only one quarter of one of the major volcanoes emissions in a year!
Do read our previous post THE GREAT CARBON CREDIT SCAM on Friday 1 2015 below.
There is really no need to reduce human gas industrial activity to zero. All things in moderation is all that is needed.
The immediate aim is to reduce the temperature rise to less than 2%. REALLY ! WHY?
How ever ,it is worth pointing that all and sundry are getting on the band wagon, to score at the expense of the poor tax payer ,including SNAKE OIL SALESMEN !
See small cap update above 2/12/2015
The poorest countries whom, by the way produce the least emissions, want quad-trillions to curb their emissions.
An easier way would be to use the Russian method ,which would be to place a boycott on some of their exports if they do not comply.
The major cause of the excess production of carbon-dioxcide is
of course over population farting and exhaling and not enough afforestation round the world ,especially in Chinese cities to mitigate these effects. Some extremists want to get rid of cattle and other forms of domestic and wild animals. Poor animals produce only one quarter of one of the major volcanoes emissions in a year!
Do read our previous post THE GREAT CARBON CREDIT SCAM on Friday 1 2015 below.
There is really no need to reduce human gas industrial activity to zero. All things in moderation is all that is needed.
The immediate aim is to reduce the temperature rise to less than 2%. REALLY ! WHY?
Tuesday, November 3, 2015
MARKET CHURN and Updates
November Updates (Above)
Summer update and Spring updates 30/11/2015
NEW Under construction TOP 40 ,TEN LIKELY BEST SHARES FOR 2016
My specialist watch list 16/11/2015
Small cap & Altex updates 6 , 9 ,21 Nov
Spring update 3 Nov 2015
Post MARKET CHURN
The present market world-wide is going nowhere as prices have run ahead of the general recovery. Stresses and strains are being felt in all basic metal resource producers and with over production in these markets ,things are becoming slowly worse. There is also a re alignment of which metals will be needed in the future world as green house management is now taking centre stage in the developed world. South Africa ,with other developing countries is also feeling the strain leading to social unrest as fewer work opportunities now exist. Impossible demands are being placed on these governments and I am afraid we are in for a further rough time.
Summer update and Spring updates 30/11/2015
NEW Under construction TOP 40 ,TEN LIKELY BEST SHARES FOR 2016
My specialist watch list 16/11/2015
Small cap & Altex updates 6 , 9 ,21 Nov
Spring update 3 Nov 2015
Post MARKET CHURN
The present market world-wide is going nowhere as prices have run ahead of the general recovery. Stresses and strains are being felt in all basic metal resource producers and with over production in these markets ,things are becoming slowly worse. There is also a re alignment of which metals will be needed in the future world as green house management is now taking centre stage in the developed world. South Africa ,with other developing countries is also feeling the strain leading to social unrest as fewer work opportunities now exist. Impossible demands are being placed on these governments and I am afraid we are in for a further rough time.
Friday, October 2, 2015
October Updates and Notes
UPDATES SEE ABOVE INDEX
TOP 40 UPDATES SEE ABOVE 19/10/2015
SMALL CAP UPDATE 16/10/2015
MY SPECIALIST WATCH LIST UPDATE 12/10/2015
NOTE 2 A SURVEY CARRIED OUT IN EUROPE SHOWS THAT THE WORKERS THAT WORK THE LONGEST HOURS ARE NOT IN GERMANY OR FRANCE BUT IN GREECE. IT ALSO SHOWED THAT IN ALL THE MAIN COUNTRIES PRODUCTION IS FALTERING AND THERE NOT ENOUGH JOBS FOR THEIR CITIZENS,NOW EXCREBRIATED BY THE INFLUX OF ILLEGAL MIGRANTS!
NOTE 1 Some newspapers now are predicting that mineral production will never again produce any profits.Yes there has been a seven year decline in prices and many mines and mining houses are in trouble.
The main reason is that in the twenty years preceding the decline prices soared as there were shortages for the main part of most types of minerals ,resulting in ramping up supplies resulting in over supply. Even when the writing was on the wall ,copious amounts were produced, such as iron ore.
Many mines are now being moth-balled or going bankrupt. Minerals will always be needed for our growing world populations and the cycle will eventually be reversed again.
LET HOPE MORE SENSE WILL BE USED IN FUTURE SO AS NOT TO GET INTO THE BOOM , BUST CYCLE AGAIN!
TOP 40 UPDATES SEE ABOVE 19/10/2015
SMALL CAP UPDATE 16/10/2015
MY SPECIALIST WATCH LIST UPDATE 12/10/2015
NOTE 2 A SURVEY CARRIED OUT IN EUROPE SHOWS THAT THE WORKERS THAT WORK THE LONGEST HOURS ARE NOT IN GERMANY OR FRANCE BUT IN GREECE. IT ALSO SHOWED THAT IN ALL THE MAIN COUNTRIES PRODUCTION IS FALTERING AND THERE NOT ENOUGH JOBS FOR THEIR CITIZENS,NOW EXCREBRIATED BY THE INFLUX OF ILLEGAL MIGRANTS!
NOTE 1 Some newspapers now are predicting that mineral production will never again produce any profits.Yes there has been a seven year decline in prices and many mines and mining houses are in trouble.
The main reason is that in the twenty years preceding the decline prices soared as there were shortages for the main part of most types of minerals ,resulting in ramping up supplies resulting in over supply. Even when the writing was on the wall ,copious amounts were produced, such as iron ore.
Many mines are now being moth-balled or going bankrupt. Minerals will always be needed for our growing world populations and the cycle will eventually be reversed again.
LET HOPE MORE SENSE WILL BE USED IN FUTURE SO AS NOT TO GET INTO THE BOOM , BUST CYCLE AGAIN!
Wednesday, September 2, 2015
UPDATES, POST "Ecomonies of scale !"
UPDATES
See the Spring update above 28/9/2015
See Summer and Autumn updates 21/9/2015
See mineral news above 7/9/2015
See Small Caps AND Altex above 18/9/2015, 24/9/2015
POST
China is a centrally controlled
economy where the government interferes in every facet of life ,including tightly regulating economic activity.
Obviously always with the best intentions. To gain more traction and direction economically, they loosened controls on some aspects of commercial life and even allowed a stock exchange to come into existence.
Every country has a number of enterprising citizens who then listed on the exchange and found they could make money trading shares. News quickly spread and the masses stared to join in. Little did thee traders understand that an individual stock should increase in value only as it's dividend grows on a sound footing that it makes more profit and all types of shares started to move up sharply ,some into almost into the stratosphere ! There was also a building boom which further excrebiated the worsening situation. Bubbles formed and the inevitable crash followed. The warning signs were
there for the last three years, of course many excuses were made that thing were not that bad.
Different from other countries, the Chinese government continues to interfere by measures such as preventing money brought in from around the world so invested from leaving their country. They also curbed bear activity which would have prevented the worst sell offs and goes in for buying shares in untenable stocks to keep the price from falling.
All this upset the world stock markets as one felt China a couple of years ago looked as if it would lift the mantle of being the strongest economy in the world from the United States of America. This course of events looks now as if this will never come about.
Now to divert their citizens from their troubles they are unfortunately turning to military solutions by fermenting situations with neighbours.
See the Spring update above 28/9/2015
See Summer and Autumn updates 21/9/2015
See mineral news above 7/9/2015
See Small Caps AND Altex above 18/9/2015, 24/9/2015
POST
China is a centrally controlled
economy where the government interferes in every facet of life ,including tightly regulating economic activity.
Obviously always with the best intentions. To gain more traction and direction economically, they loosened controls on some aspects of commercial life and even allowed a stock exchange to come into existence.
Every country has a number of enterprising citizens who then listed on the exchange and found they could make money trading shares. News quickly spread and the masses stared to join in. Little did thee traders understand that an individual stock should increase in value only as it's dividend grows on a sound footing that it makes more profit and all types of shares started to move up sharply ,some into almost into the stratosphere ! There was also a building boom which further excrebiated the worsening situation. Bubbles formed and the inevitable crash followed. The warning signs were
there for the last three years, of course many excuses were made that thing were not that bad.
Different from other countries, the Chinese government continues to interfere by measures such as preventing money brought in from around the world so invested from leaving their country. They also curbed bear activity which would have prevented the worst sell offs and goes in for buying shares in untenable stocks to keep the price from falling.
All this upset the world stock markets as one felt China a couple of years ago looked as if it would lift the mantle of being the strongest economy in the world from the United States of America. This course of events looks now as if this will never come about.
Now to divert their citizens from their troubles they are unfortunately turning to military solutions by fermenting situations with neighbours.
Monday, August 3, 2015
POST , NOTES and UPDATES.
UPDATES
6. 31/8 /2015 Spring share and derivative update see above
5.All small cap updates in place by 27/8/2015 see above
4. SUMMER AND PRELIMINARY AUTUM UPDATES NOW IN PLACE SEE ABOVE
3. MY SPECIALIST WATCHLIST 11/8/2015 CLICK ABOVE
2. Our Mineral and Mining News has been updated see above 6 and 11/8/2015
1. Winter update see index above 5/8/2015
POST METAL AND MINERAL PRICES CONTINUE TO PLUNGE,SUCH AS GOLD,OIL,PLATINUM GROUP METALS,COAL,CHROME AND IRON. 0NE MIGHT GET THE IMPRESSION THAT THESE PRODUCTS ARE NO LONGER NEEDED IN THE WORLD!
NOTHING COULD BE FURTHER FROM THE TRUTH! HOW EVER THERE INEVITABLE CHANGES IN THE WAY SOME OF THESE ARE USED.
AMERICA HAS ENACTED LEGISLATION THAT PRETROLEUM DRIVEN VEHICLES MUST BE SLOWLY PHASED OUT FOR CLEANER VARIETIES OF VEHILCES
HERE FUEL CELLS AND ADVANCED BATTERY POWER IS LIKELY TO TAKE CENTRE STAGE!.
THERE HAS GENERALLY BEEN OVER PRODUCTION AND HOARDING OF METAL AND MINERALS OF ALL KINDS. THIS IS NOW UNWINDING AND COUNTRIES ARE STARTING TO COME OUT OF THE RECESSION. THE WORLD HAD MANY UNREST PROBLEMS DUE TO THE RECESSION AND EVEN WARS CAUSED BY THE FRUSTATION OF NOT BEING ABLE TO PROVIDE A GOOD LIVING FOR THE WORLDS CITIZENS.
WE SEE A MORE STABLE PERIOD AHEAD AND A MORE FOCUSED PRODUCTION OF NEEDED RESOURCES.
NOTES USE THE LABELS IN THE SIDE-BAR OR UNDERNEATH POSTS TO CLUSTER SUBJECTS YOU ARE INTERESTED IN.
6. 31/8 /2015 Spring share and derivative update see above
5.All small cap updates in place by 27/8/2015 see above
4. SUMMER AND PRELIMINARY AUTUM UPDATES NOW IN PLACE SEE ABOVE
3. MY SPECIALIST WATCHLIST 11/8/2015 CLICK ABOVE
2. Our Mineral and Mining News has been updated see above 6 and 11/8/2015
1. Winter update see index above 5/8/2015
POST METAL AND MINERAL PRICES CONTINUE TO PLUNGE,SUCH AS GOLD,OIL,PLATINUM GROUP METALS,COAL,CHROME AND IRON. 0NE MIGHT GET THE IMPRESSION THAT THESE PRODUCTS ARE NO LONGER NEEDED IN THE WORLD!
NOTHING COULD BE FURTHER FROM THE TRUTH! HOW EVER THERE INEVITABLE CHANGES IN THE WAY SOME OF THESE ARE USED.
AMERICA HAS ENACTED LEGISLATION THAT PRETROLEUM DRIVEN VEHICLES MUST BE SLOWLY PHASED OUT FOR CLEANER VARIETIES OF VEHILCES
HERE FUEL CELLS AND ADVANCED BATTERY POWER IS LIKELY TO TAKE CENTRE STAGE!.
THERE HAS GENERALLY BEEN OVER PRODUCTION AND HOARDING OF METAL AND MINERALS OF ALL KINDS. THIS IS NOW UNWINDING AND COUNTRIES ARE STARTING TO COME OUT OF THE RECESSION. THE WORLD HAD MANY UNREST PROBLEMS DUE TO THE RECESSION AND EVEN WARS CAUSED BY THE FRUSTATION OF NOT BEING ABLE TO PROVIDE A GOOD LIVING FOR THE WORLDS CITIZENS.
WE SEE A MORE STABLE PERIOD AHEAD AND A MORE FOCUSED PRODUCTION OF NEEDED RESOURCES.
NOTES USE THE LABELS IN THE SIDE-BAR OR UNDERNEATH POSTS TO CLUSTER SUBJECTS YOU ARE INTERESTED IN.
Thursday, July 2, 2015
NOTES and UPDATES
NOTES
1.We published this months post on 30 JUNE below as it was important
UPDATES SEE INDEX ABOVE.
5. FINAL WINTER UPDATE AND NEW SHORT SUMMER UPDATE SEE ABOVE
4.Spring Share and Derivative update and comment. 20/7/2015 see above
3.MY SPECIALIST WATCHLIST 16/7/2015 SEE ABOVE
2. REAL ESTATE FACTS 6/7/2015 SEE ABOVE
1.SMALL CAP SHARES 14/7/2015 see above
1.We published this months post on 30 JUNE below as it was important
UPDATES SEE INDEX ABOVE.
5. FINAL WINTER UPDATE AND NEW SHORT SUMMER UPDATE SEE ABOVE
4.Spring Share and Derivative update and comment. 20/7/2015 see above
3.MY SPECIALIST WATCHLIST 16/7/2015 SEE ABOVE
2. REAL ESTATE FACTS 6/7/2015 SEE ABOVE
1.SMALL CAP SHARES 14/7/2015 see above
Tuesday, June 30, 2015
Greek Default
The 30 June 2015 was default day. It has been obvious that this day has been coming for a number of years. This has not been a purely Greek fault and the main drivers such as France and Germany have been responsible for much of the pain Greece will now have to bear. The Euro monetary unit is certainly not based on democracy as last year when Greece was first entering a greater discomfort zone and they proposed a democratic referendum to decide if they should break ranks with the Euro Unit ,draconian action was promised against the then government, who were then incidently pro Euro. So resentment was built up against the union. Obviously the main drivers of the Euro monetary unit wanted give their private citizens time to unwind their exposure to Greece.
Now towards the end of the saga they seemed to impose more impossible conditions upon Greece, knowing full well that Greece could not meet them so as to shift the blame fully to them and away from the Union. Greece gave in on most points ,but then always more was required.
To say that Greece only represents about 4% of the Euro trade and will have only minimal effect upon the union in a break up is also not true. Do remember the citizens and their government have withdrawing Euros from those been injected into their banks which might now might be billions.
So when Greece returns to their original currency, which say they devalue by 40% then they will still have the Euros which could threaten the stability of the European Union. These moves of the major countries in Europe are not lost on other Mediterranean countries I am sure.
Another worrying aspect of this debacle is that Greece has always been a staunch member of Nato. No doubt Russia would help Greece and those ties would weaken!
Now towards the end of the saga they seemed to impose more impossible conditions upon Greece, knowing full well that Greece could not meet them so as to shift the blame fully to them and away from the Union. Greece gave in on most points ,but then always more was required.
To say that Greece only represents about 4% of the Euro trade and will have only minimal effect upon the union in a break up is also not true. Do remember the citizens and their government have withdrawing Euros from those been injected into their banks which might now might be billions.
So when Greece returns to their original currency, which say they devalue by 40% then they will still have the Euros which could threaten the stability of the European Union. These moves of the major countries in Europe are not lost on other Mediterranean countries I am sure.
Another worrying aspect of this debacle is that Greece has always been a staunch member of Nato. No doubt Russia would help Greece and those ties would weaken!
Monday, June 1, 2015
THE WORLD IN TURMOIL
Sure there is always some conflict going on some where, but usually these can be ignored as they do not affect us directly.
How ever when the largest powers start actively increasing their military hardware ,then we have to take notice.
Rest of this post is beneath updates.
3/6/2015 Real Estate update see index above.
8/6/2015 My Specialist List Update.
10,15/6/2015 smaller cap shares transfer to update above.
The former communist countries namely RUSSIA and CHINA have slowly being moving to more open societies in the last decade and they have generally thrived. Now how ever as the capital systems start to struggle due to the world wide recession over the last five years, these countries find they can not meet the aspirations of their restless citizens, as they demand even more freedoms.
Thus Russia has become embroiled in a war with a former part of their Socialist Republics namely Ukraine. As the western countries generally support the latter ,they have whipped up patriotism and suppressing freedoms in Russia.
China on the other hand have started on a massive naval build up, supposedly to protect their coastal integrity ,by claiming islands that belong to other countries , well beyond their borders as their own .How ever this could eventually lead to them taking a greater stake in the mainland, land which is part of Russia now. Russia might regret it's stance to the West, a fact which is not lost to their leadership I am sure!
It is time to settle the Ukraine crises in a manner that is fair to all.
NATO is upping their vigilance after some air intrusions by Russia and the US has promised to help Far East nations with their land integrity.
We South Africans might have signed a treaty with the BRIC countries ,but we had better stay neutral as 70% of our exports go to the West.
All this might have a good effect upon mining strategic metals and minerals as both sides will want to buildup reserves as quickly as possible.
How ever when the largest powers start actively increasing their military hardware ,then we have to take notice.
Rest of this post is beneath updates.
3/6/2015 Real Estate update see index above.
8/6/2015 My Specialist List Update.
10,15/6/2015 smaller cap shares transfer to update above.
The former communist countries namely RUSSIA and CHINA have slowly being moving to more open societies in the last decade and they have generally thrived. Now how ever as the capital systems start to struggle due to the world wide recession over the last five years, these countries find they can not meet the aspirations of their restless citizens, as they demand even more freedoms.
Thus Russia has become embroiled in a war with a former part of their Socialist Republics namely Ukraine. As the western countries generally support the latter ,they have whipped up patriotism and suppressing freedoms in Russia.
China on the other hand have started on a massive naval build up, supposedly to protect their coastal integrity ,by claiming islands that belong to other countries , well beyond their borders as their own .How ever this could eventually lead to them taking a greater stake in the mainland, land which is part of Russia now. Russia might regret it's stance to the West, a fact which is not lost to their leadership I am sure!
It is time to settle the Ukraine crises in a manner that is fair to all.
NATO is upping their vigilance after some air intrusions by Russia and the US has promised to help Far East nations with their land integrity.
We South Africans might have signed a treaty with the BRIC countries ,but we had better stay neutral as 70% of our exports go to the West.
All this might have a good effect upon mining strategic metals and minerals as both sides will want to buildup reserves as quickly as possible.
Friday, May 1, 2015
The Great Carbon Credit TAX SCAM !
Yes our government along with others in the world can not wait to get their hands on more taxes to waste on meaningless projects and themselves!
Do remember that with out carbon dioxide no life would be possible on earth!
Sure we don't want to live in a smoky environment or where chemicals put artificially high amounts of poison in the air or drinking water. The problem should be attacked in another way, say by tax credit incentives for better management of immediate environments.
Luckily the last volcanic eruption in Iceland in four days has negated every human effort in the last five years to lower CO2 in the atmosphere.
Please teach your children that plants need CO2 to synthesize into oxygen for us to breathe.
As for global warming, the earth now seems to be in a cooling cycle so now the term "Climate Change" is being used.
ANOTHER NATURAL PHENOMINA!
1. Labels at the bottom of posts and in the side-bar can be used to cluster subjects on the same subject
2. Its a good idea to bookmark this page
3.The latest update is always at the top of the page
Do remember that with out carbon dioxide no life would be possible on earth!
Sure we don't want to live in a smoky environment or where chemicals put artificially high amounts of poison in the air or drinking water. The problem should be attacked in another way, say by tax credit incentives for better management of immediate environments.
Luckily the last volcanic eruption in Iceland in four days has negated every human effort in the last five years to lower CO2 in the atmosphere.
Please teach your children that plants need CO2 to synthesize into oxygen for us to breathe.
As for global warming, the earth now seems to be in a cooling cycle so now the term "Climate Change" is being used.
ANOTHER NATURAL PHENOMINA!
1. Labels at the bottom of posts and in the side-bar can be used to cluster subjects on the same subject
2. Its a good idea to bookmark this page
3.The latest update is always at the top of the page
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