War II

  Some thing nobody expected is that the world would land in virtual war with no end in sight. How this mess will untangle no one knows!  We...

About Me

Retired but always looking for new challenges.

Friday, March 2, 2018

THE BIGGER PICTURE !

Hats off to the Japanese industrialists and government for recognizing the fact that Fuel Cells are far superior to batteries to keep the environment free from pollutants. All the big auto manufacturers and industrial engine manufacturers are on board.Also used in catalytic converters, the Platinum Group Metals are tops.
The rest of the world manufacturers are taking the line of least resistance and falling over each other to produce mostly lithium long life batteries.
Already countries are complaining about the use of electricity that simply will not be enough to reload these batteries and are already suggesting that they will have to recharge them at night, which  by the way usually will take all night  to recharge. 
This electricity will mostly be produced by coal fired power stations for almost the next century.
Talk of pollutants!
On the other hand Fuel Cells can get a recharge in about fifteen minutes at special points that will continue to be added to existing garages and larger sites for industrial use.
SEE THE LATEST UPDATES IN THE SIDE-BAR

Friday, February 2, 2018

A SOUTHERN AFRICAN MINING REVIVAL ON THE CARDS !

Already some exploration companies from Canada and Australia are coming to our country to" test the waters" so to speak. That is to see if the new president elect can make this country mining friendly again. Optimistic talk is  on the increase again, as more mining friendly announcements are made. Unfortunately the new head of state is only likely to take over  next year, unless the incumbent is removed earlier,a difficult task at best.
  Our country is mineral rich  in quantities  that make mining worth while. Unfortunately very little exploration has been done for a couple of decades as the environment was hostile with seizing assets the talk of the day and increasing impossible taxes proposed .
 We locals feel  quite confident these days and feel the future is bright in providing much work for the population and a decent income for workers.
1.CLICK ALSO MINING AND RESOURCES NEWS IN SIDE-BAR FOR GREAT UPDATES

2.Also read my most popular page in the side-bar for new stocks this year -namely -MY SPECIALIST REVISED WATCHLIST

3. See the NEW  Medium Cap Shares in the side-bar as well as all the other updates.

Tuesday, January 2, 2018

A GREAT BOOST FOR THE NEW YEAR !

THE OLD YEAR ENDS ON A VERY POSITIVE NOTE FOR SOUTH AFRICA AS THE  RAND SURGES TO LEVELS LAST SEEN MONTHS A GO ON THE BACKGROUND
 OF CHOOSING 
A NEW PRESIDENT NOT MIRED IN SCANDAL AND ONE THAT IS A  SUCCESSFUL 
BUSINESS MAN AND SHOULD BE  FAVORABLE  TO BIG BUSINESS THAT WILL CREATE JOBS AND REVERSE THE PROCESS OF DOWNGRADES.

How ever the mood is still sombre in more enlightened circles as the president elect did not have a clear run as the former president nominated his wife who won almost half the seats and many radical resolutions were adopted that are supposed  to be implemented by the new president.
The worst of these is land grabs, that is taking good agricultural producing land with out compensation and re-distributing it to the peasants . Our neighbor ,Zimbabwe did this under the dictator Mugabe . The result was disasterous as their economy collapsed completely. That country was the bread basket of  Africa. As usual the majority land was distributed to Mugabe relatives. They had no money to pay for imports and no food to eat.Days of celebration followed  the overthrow of Mugabe after thirty seven years of hardship and death of many from starvation.
South Africa considers itself more sophisticated ,but such populist veiws are held by a vast amount of tribal people ,who want to this to be extended to the cities as well. 
Although the racial card is played as it is said whites hold most of the profitable enterprises,this is not simply true.After three hundred years in this country there very few pure white families left!
The civil service is 95% black now,which leads to another point that their pension fund is wholly dependent on shares on the stock exchange to grow their pensions,if these are seized they would end up with no pensions.
Another call is for the mines to be nationalised. 
These mines also pay heavy taxes and in some instances royalties which would immediately be lost to the fiscus if nationalised. 
 As the rulers now can not even run the government or semi-parastatals properly how earth will they manage the mines!
Do remember that the government already runs the national airways and electricity supply at increasing  huge losses !

1.SEE THE SIDE-BAR FOR LATEST UPDATES.
NEWEST UPDATE ALWAYS AT THE TOP OF THE LIST. 
UPDATED a)Barry and Naomi's Small Caps.
b)My specialist watch list from 2015 to 2018
c) Abacus updates
d) The final declarations of the NEW WINTER LIST ARE NOW IN PLACE for 2018
e) Summer and Autumn updates now also in place. 2.Students of various disciplines use labels and archive to help them in their studies,also investors .See side-bar
f) Mining and resources update in place.
3.For something really different and entertaining Google : Bar-Nam Doings

Friday, December 1, 2017

Lessons and Surprises !

Do check out the side-bar for all the latest updates on a variety of subjects from Shares,Derivatives and items such as Bitcoins. The latest updates are always near the top of the list


1.The eyes went open of many of our South African socialist politicians when they observed how the population of our neighbor state ZIMBABWE  went wild celebrating in the streets for days at the fall of the socialist leaning tyrant Mugabe was deposed after 37 years in power. 
At independence Zimbabwe was referred to as the breadbasket of Africa. Our local politicians held him up as some one they would aspire to be like!

2. Agro-mining is likely to be the the in thing in future. That is using plants to take up metals especially on worked out mines ,then to extract this from the plants to get the minerals from the harvested plants and then process the contents.

3. At the moment lithium batteries are over shadowing fuel cell technology especially in passenger autos. 

4. All these resource subjects will be further commented upon on the Bvians Abacus Information Alerts website. So be sure to check it out.

Thursday, November 2, 2017

NOW TRENDING OIL !

 Oil is now trending as surprising as this now sounds. 
 Oil has clawed its way back and it now is less volatile and likely to stay above $60 per barrel for Brent for the for see-able future. 
 The reason it would seem is that Saudi Arabia the leader in Opec has been able to curtail the amount of oil produced by the cartel more successfully than the former times when there was over production.

(Also visit... Bvians Abacus information 
Alerts... for comment on new ideas usually first discussed there)

Do remember it is likely to take another decade before alternate so called "clean energy " will start to diminish the use of fossil fuels and even longer to phase them out.
 Opec has now also consulted the shale producers and has pointed that its in every producers  interest to curtail oil production as a glut leads to not only falling prices,but large losses and companies going under. As we understand it there is no formal signed agreement between them but relies on mutual advantages at the moment.
 When the price falls too far there is no advantages for frackers 
either as now banks are adverse to lending them extra monies to continue their drilling as there is a social aspect as ground water does in some instances become contaminated.
 On the sidelines of course are deep water drills standing idle as this costs the companies billions of US Dollars. So they would not require a higher price to cover their debts.

SEE ALL THE UPDATES FOR THIS MONTH IN THE RIGHT HAND SIDE-BAR



Sunday, October 1, 2017

MINING SURVEY FRIENDLY COUNTRIES

  A Mining survey shows that the most mining friendly countries and areas are ARIZONA,NEVADA,FINLAND,MEXICO,IRELAND,WESTERN AUSTRALIA AND QUEENSLAND.  

On the whole African independent states including South Africa have fallen out of favor. These regions formerly were very favorable to miners. The governments since independence when they took over from in their eyes from the much maligned colonialists who handed them good working economies on a platter have been very corrupt ,lazy and are it would seem only interested in lining the pockets of politicians and top government officials.
Looting has become commonplace and increased taxes have made establishing new mines a risky enterprise. Added to this now further talk of "windfall taxes" and socialist polices of nationalisation have driven overseas capital away completely.
These indigenous officials don't seem to realise that it takes millions of US Dollars to establish a working mine and this process can take up to ten years and not all mines can be profitable as metal and mineral prices rise and fall all the time.

Older mines are closing down plus heavy taxes and royalties shedding  thousands of jobs with no replacements on the horision 
is causing great misery.

Whipping the local indigenous Africans populations with talk of "white mining exploitation !"  is not helping matters either. Also The new mining charter in South Africa will bring new misery. South African mines have some of the best legislation ,which compares well with the world in protecting laborers rights.
UPDATES:- Google :- SEE SIDE-BAR RIGHT TOP
MY SPECIALIST WATCH LISTS

SPRING AND SUMMER SEPTEMBER UPDATES
------------------------------------------------------
READ THE NEW BLOG BVIANS EDGE TO SEE OUR OPINION OF BITCOIN NOW

ABACUS INFORMATION ALERTS

BVIANS AND NAOMI'S SMALL CAP STOCKS

BVIANS MINING STOCKS



Friday, September 1, 2017

NOW TRENDING Recovery of Platinum Group Metals and Chrome picking up !

------------------------------------------------------
UPDATES : -              My specialist lists for September,see side bar  and summer and spring updates                                                        also 
                                                 See what to Google below post


Platinum Group Metals (PGM's) six months ago were $ 919 per basket ounce. Now they are $ 974 per basket.

     
                   OTHER  PRICES IN US DOLLARS PER OUNCE
TWO MONTHS AGO                            END AUGUST 2017

 $   880                              PLATINUM               $939         


ONE  YEAR AGO                                                NOW

$690                    PALLADIUM                            $920                       
$655                      RHODIUM                              $1100
COMPARING  PGM'S WITH GOLD LEADS ONE TO THE CONCLUSION GOLD'S USES ARE SO LIMITED AS TO ALMOST DECLARE IT A MONO USE METAL !
PGM'S ON THE OTHER HAND ARE SO MULTI FACETED THAT ITS ALMOST IMPOSSIBLE TO STATE ALL THEIR USES.
DO READ LAST MONTHS POST ALSO CLICK ONTHE LABELS IN THE SIDE BAR CLOUD TO GROUP ARTICLES THAT INTEREST YOU.
                                                         ALSO
1.GOOGLE EVERY MONTH FOR NEWS YOU WILL SEE NO WHERE ELSE !
                              and2BVIAN'S ABACUS INFORMATION ALERTS.
                              and                               

                 3 BVIANS   EDGE 
                        and                 
                  4 BVIANS MINING AND RESOURCES update for SEPTEMBER
POST FOR UP TO THE MINUTE  NEWS ON METALS AND MINERALS. ITS WORTH READING THE OLDER POSTS AS WELL ON THIS WEBSITE.
                         5.BVIANS AND NAOMIS SMALL CAPSHARES SEPTEMBER 2017
                                                      DO
BOOKMARK THESE TWO WEBSITES FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION . DO VISIT MONTHLY
  

Friday, August 4, 2017

Revitalised Bright Future for PLATINUM GROUP METALS

================================



FUEL CELLS will obviously be the rage sooner than we thought would be the case in the past.

Important announcements in this regard are:-
 1. VOLVO has decided that from 2018 it will no longer produce internal combustion autos

2. The BRITISH government will no longer allow new internal combustion(pretroleum) autos on their roads from 2040 onwards.

3.Stationary fuel cell generators are being increasingly being used in the most polluted city environments worldwide.

4.THE MOST IMPORTANT NEWS OF ALL IS THAT MERCEDES SCIENTISTS have reduce the amount of platinum in auto fuel cells to the same loading as is now used in catalytic converters making this move the item price wise of choice above lithium batteries for the future !

5. Lithuim batteries still need a great deal of development as they  are somewhat unsafe and have still have to be charged by electricity probably still coming from coal produced electricity! The range of absolute FUEL CELL CLEAN ELECTRICTY is so much greater when used in autos..

UPDATES. See side-bar at top on the left of the page.
1.top 40 spring and summer lists now in place.

2 CLICK ON:- Stock Trading Trends THEN CLICK ON : BVian's Abacus Information Alerts for NOW TRENDING PLATINUM!
MY SPECIALIST WATCHLIST HAS BEEN UPDATED FOR AUG 2017 SEE SIDE-BAR
4 SMALL CAPS HAVE BEEN UPDATED FOR AUGUST 2017 CLICK ON SIDE-BAR TO GO THE MINING AND RESOURCES UPDATE AUGUST IN SIDE-BAR

Monday, July 3, 2017

South African Dilemma!

URGENT UPDATE. SEE MINING NEWS IN THE SIDE BAR


The ANC has been in power for 23 years with out any serious rivalry from other parties. Now with the worlds recent recession and people wishing to have a greater say and exercise their democracy, the bloated upper echelons are starting to scramble to preserve their lifestyle. The president Zuma and his cohorts have been involved in numerous scandals and they wish to keep their gains by proposing his wife for the next president, the term starting 2019,which will also avoid prosecution of those now being investigated. The ANC has lost the major cities to opposition groups a major blow to their party.
Unfortunately  they are now resorting to left wing slogans,also replacing trusted democratic ministers with those involved in those scandals as they are really forced to be loyal to the president or likely end up in jail!
 As an example the new mining minister of four months proposes a third mining charter which would is illegal as the Pretroleum Resources Development act still being debated by consensus in the commitee stage has first to be passed for legality.  Riding roughshod over the rules expects the mines to comply within the year!
This bill is opposed by the CHAMBER OF MINES which is taking it to court as as it stands it would be impossible to find any funds to start any new ventures. 
The CHARTER 111 also falls foul  of the GENERAL AGREEMENT OF GATT which could  lead to this being suspended ,leading to great financial loss to South Africa.

1. Spring and Summer top 40 updates now in place
2.The new Winter list is now in place on the Small Cap lists
3. My new specialist watchlist  has been updated see side-bar.

4. GOOGLE BVIANS ABACUS INFORMATION ALERTS then bookmark the site and visit monthly for those traders and investors that want to take their trading to the next level! Updated 

Friday, June 2, 2017

NOW TRENDING - POSITIVE DEMOCRATIC ACTIONS!

1.
Rand / American Dollar has not declined by the amount that was expected as our international debt was downgraded to junk,but not our local debt, by S&P and Fitch but not Moody's.
It is felt that   we still using our democratic rights to take government  and private corruption , to task. 
The nation as a whole has said stop this ,over riding political boundries. Added to this genuine efforts are being made at this time to keep our international debt in line!
At year end our descredited president is likely to be replaced by a better more educated person,as party leader, who understands how business is done. 
If the ANC ruling party does not make the right decisions then their party is going to be decimated at the polls in 2019 and unfortunately for the rest of us,more slogan bearing left-wing populists added to the mix which will cause chaos to our political and economic  life causing a bigger shambles than we have ever known.
2.
I see President Trump shares my veiws on the climate change debate. Do read my post on this matter which I posted on 1/May/2015. Namely "THE GREAT CARBON CREDIT SCAM ! "
3.
Do visit my specialist watch lists in the index in the left-hand side bar above which have been very successful over a number of years on stock that thrives over longer periods. UPDATED 5/6/2017
4.
.STOCK BVIAN,s mining and resources blog has been updated.CLICK ON STOCK TRADING TRENDS ABOVE, THEN ENTER THE BLOG U WANT TO VISIT 12/6/2017
 5.SEE ABACUS ACTIVE ALERTS for fantastic news about lithium u have never read about before. More to follow in subsequent months
 6. SUMMER TOP 40 PRELIMINARY UPDATE
 7 SMALL CAPS UPDATE JUNE 2017
 8 SPRING UPDATE TOP 40

Monday, May 1, 2017

Overcoming problems !

South Africa has been down graded to below investment grade namely BB+ by both Fitch and Standard , Moodys has not yet decided to follow and is waiting to see if democratic principles will prevail.
The ruling party is losing considerable ground after 23 years in power, becoming more corrupt, with officials looking to line their own pockets with wealth at the expense of the electorate the so called  "Gravy Train !" . 
They have had a wake up call as they loose ground in bye- elections to the more populist and slogan bound left wing.
Our electorate is mostly poorly educated . So now the ruling ANC are starting to use slogans and revert to more socialist and unfortunately racialist ideas blaming the Whites (All Europeans) for their shortcomings. 
All sides gave ground with the beautiful idea of a rainbow nation under De Klerk and Nelson Mandela ,who won the Noble peace prize for their joint efforts. This is now been eroded and forgotten.
The sacking of the world renowned minister of finance Gordhan and replaced by  the new minister with an already shady record. Named  Gibata,  finally triggered   the rating agencies decision.
Gibata has an university professor adviser  with ideas that might seem moronic! This adviser wishes to strip all whites of positions in banks,insurance companies and white farmers of their land with out compensation.
Our president is encouraging the use of the slogan  RADICAL CHANGE, with out spelling out what this means!

 NEWEST UPDATES IN PLACE   SEE PAGES AT TOP  OF LEFT HAND SIDE-BAR
1.SMALL CAPS.
2 ABACUS NEW IDEAS

3. SEE MY NEW SUMMARY ON MY SPECIALIST WATCH LISTS
4. Spring derivative top 40 list updated

Saturday, April 1, 2017

BONANZAS

In all this political turmoil happening around us at the moment,we feel it is imperative to look at the basics of what is now needed in the world, in as far as metals and minerals are concerned.
Suddenly platinum group metals are not quite the in thing anymore. Too many mines wanted to get in on the act as prices soared and of  course there was massive  over production.As stockpiles come down its easy to turn the spigots open again and over produce.
Rare earth type metals which is now needed in all manner of things is LITHIUM. There is not enough of this resource to go around and the hunt is on to find more. As electric cars become the in thing there is likely to be a shortage for the next couple of decades.
The main producers at the moment are United 
States,Bolivia and Chile. Australia has now been added to these states as new deposits have been found in great quantity as well as Namibia. There are SPODUMENE deposits right here in 
South Africa but with hostile political uncertainty they remain undeveloped.
It would seem ,we South Africans have only one chance in getting in on this bonanza at the moment and that is by investing in TAWANA SHARES. We usually avoid small caps especially ones that are only 5 cents a share which was the price a year ago. It was an exploration company,but has shot up to about R4.00 by end March 2017. How ever its prices are likely to be very volatile till the the end of the year when the first income can be expected. 
1.Use the labels to group posts on the same subjects together beneath articles and in the side-bar.
2. The newest PAGES are always published at the top of the index in the right side-bar. 1.MY SPECIALITY LIST NOW UPDATED 2.PRELIMARY SPRING LIST
3. Sister websites published  click on Stock trading trends in the side-bar , in April updates are:- Abacus .
4.Southern African and Mining News main post and pages have been updated.

Wednesday, March 8, 2017

NOW TRENDING :-COBALT

1.An exciting time lies ahead for both the world and Southern Africa with rare earth type minerals and metals taking centre stage !
Lithium and Colbalt are now been needed in ever greater quantities for electric vehicles and as far as cobalt goes there will be a shortage for the forsee-able  future. 
 2.The cobalt metal is suddenly needed in a myriad of new ways such as electric vehicles,computers,software and even tyres.  The price has almost doubled in the last couple year and mines are scrambling to find new sources.
 3.There is a great opportunity for especially 
South Africa as the cobalt metal occurs in the same strata as gold and platinum ores.At the moment its blasted away to get at the PGM's and gold. Only a small change is needed in blasting techniques to recover the cobalt. This knowledge was passed on to the mining houses last year,but they preferred to sit on their hands. Only a few small enterprising companies are looking at this method!  At the moment the cobalt is allowed to decay and it becomes a contaminent, leaching into rivers and drinking water. Worked out gold mines could also get anew lease of life.
4. THERE are very few pure cobalt and copper mines in the world. GLENCORE has pounced on the largest one in the Democratic Rebublic of the Congo and is now in a position to make many billions of US Dollars.
  Click on the newest page updates , always on the index above. 
Please also inform other forumites of these contents as at this time i am not able to post on the comments blog. Thank you.



Sunday, January 1, 2017

The New Year

1.The first post of this year is published on  the  new post ABACUS ACTIVE STOCK ALERTS.

Then click on : STOCK TRADING TRENDS then on the blog: ABACUS ACTIVE STOCK ALERTS   at the top of the  left side-bar

2. Barrys and Naomis Small Cap lists
 final updates are in place .Reach it via Stock Trading Trends in the side-bar. After a some what ropey start the small cap list did exceptionally well! 
 3. The final updates FOR 2016 on SOUTHERN AFRICAN MINING AND RESOURCES NEWS HAS BEEN PUBLISHED4 Remember the newest updates are always mentioned at the top of the index above above the home button.

Thursday, December 1, 2016

The year that was !

This has been a year  in which there have been more financial  and political shocks worldwide than normal.Growing  populations have become more restive and even rebellious as the recession lingered on. At year end America is well on the way to recovery and the first sprigs of recovery are seen in Europe and Asia. As always Africa is lagging. 
How ever a pleasing change has been seen on the African Continent as populations strive for more accountability and less graft  top of government officials. This is playing itself out especially here in  South Africa as we strive to avoid  downgrades in our borrowing to junk status. As many other major countries have failed this test of morality we have for a second time avoided this fate.
It must be remembered that we produce 80% of the world platinum group metals and also a full range of base metals and minerals.
How ever at the present price of platinum, around $900 per ounce it is being produced at a loss. There is already a shortage of 20% in  ounces, per annum, built up and as fuel cells and other catalytic converters are needed for cleaner air become the vogue. In the last ten years the price has suddenly spurted by a couple of hundred USA dollars per ounce! this exciting event can happen again. Do remember it takes five years to ramp up and open mothballed areas in existing mines and a great deal longer in new developments!
I wish all our readers,Google and our advertisers all the best for 2017.




Tuesday, November 1, 2016

THE NEXT PHASE IN METALS AND MINERALS USE Part 2 MINING MODERISATION

  All systems are go to arrest the present decline in mining activity, and overcome the obstacles out there. The easy mining ore bodies are fast becoming the thing of the past.
 Public and private companies, with workers are beginning to work together to preserve jobs, income and tax revenue.
  Modernising and research into methods of refining especially in South Africa which has always been a world leader in this regard as during the last hundred years we were the world leaders in production of platinum group metals ,gold and diamonds. An added source of income is the production of equipment to further these activities now been developed.
  These activities will lead to sustainability of the mining environment over the next half century.
  Of great importance now is safety of workers at extreme depths in tunnels and difficult mining circumstances.
  Remote control of machines will keep workers out of harms way for the most part in dangerous areas. Narrower machines are already working and more innovative ones are being built.
Backfill of pulverised rock now has many advantages as it stabilises the ground in worked out areas avoids unsightly heaps of  ground and in generally more environmentally friendly.
The greatest advances are continually been made in refining of complicated metals such as precious metals as well as more basic metals in seperation by using enzymes instead of the old methods such as sieves to seperate the various elements from the waste rocks. This also results in greater recoveries and more profits.
IT MIGHT BE A GOOD IDEA TO ALSO READ PART 1  PUBLISHED IN SEPTEMBER ALSO THE STRIPPING OF RESOURCE ASSETS mentioned in the posts in the side-bar to get a continuity picture of the whole subject in South Africa.

For the latest on Stocks go to... Abacus Top stock tips.... and bookmark the post.

Thursday, September 1, 2016

THE NEXT PHASE IN METALS AND MINERALS USE Part 1

   First of all lets take stock of the present position ! The world is in such a deep recession that although newly mined material in many circumstances does not nearly cover  the present use of these minerals and metals and in other instances just about does.
   Where then is the supply coming from ,one may ask? Obviously from stock piles built up in the past years.
  Prices are very low and in some instances continue to fall. Production is falling even faster and in some cases there are delays in being able to have a continuity of supplyIn the past alarm bells would have been ringing and money that is needed to ramp up production would be forthcoming for the obvious boom to follow!
   Not this time as governments have messed up their economies with quantitative easing etc. spending and printing money they have no backing for and it seems keeping the recession/depression going ad-infinitum!
   The good news is that we need these mined products to keep and expand our lifestyle as populations in developing economies keep growing and in first world countries grow older.
    Eventually demand will return and then there will be explosive activity  to try to supply these products in the shortest time.
    To make ends meet mines are sticking to old methods at the moment and  to ramp up sustainable production would take at least five years. Billions of US$ would required to start new workings would take at least a ramp up period of ten years to reach full production in most ventures, but first investors must be sure that there must be a sustainable need for that particular metal or mineral!

Saturday, July 2, 2016

RAND STRENGTH

During the whole Brexit fiasco the Rand held up surprisingly well, losing very little against the US Dollar.
 As Soon as the initial panic ended it made it all back in three days! Compare this with other countries through out the world where a rout took place as if a comet was threatening the world.
The reason was that longer term mutual funds, large conglomerates and longer term traders  are looking to receive a better returns on their investments.  Most first world investments such as bonds are now in negative territory ,so large investments are losing money. 
 First our bonds were in demand again and large cash flows are coming in. Our bonds are still around 7% positive.
Now our mining shares are starting to take off as modest demand  to return and risk on investments are coming into vogue again.
                                         ALSO


1.The British Commonwealth will in the long run be better off ,as will British relations with those countries as the European grouping have been urging Britain to cut favourable trade deals to its former empire! South Africa is also a member of the commonwealth.
2. The reason for the no vote winning was the European Union showing little resolution to curb illegal immigration, which any thinking person could see would lead to  WORK BECOMING VERY SCARCE AND COUNTRIES STRUGGLING WITH MONIES TO PROVIDE SOCIAL SERVICES FOR THEIR OWN POPULATIONS ,LET ALONE ILLEGAL FOREIGNERS !

Saturday, June 4, 2016

BREATHING SPACE !

   THE  DECISION WE WERE ALL WAITING FOR, THAT IS TO SEE IF WE WERE TO FALL INTO JUNK  (NON INVESTMENT GRADE)WAS AVERTED YESTERDAY .WE ALL GAVE A GREAT SIGH OF RELEF WHEN STANDARD AND POOR KEPT US ONE NOTCH ABOVE THIS STATUS. LATE LAST MONTH MOODY'S EVEN  MOVED US UP TWO NOTCHES.   THIS GOES TO SHOW WHAT CAN BE ACHIEVED WHEN BUSINESS , THE TRADE UNIONS AND GOVERNMENT ALL WORK TOGETHER FOR THE GOOD OF THE COUNTRY INSTEAD OF SHOUTING AT EACH OTHER. A FURTHER REVEIW WILL BE HELD AT YEAR END SO THERE IS MUCH WORK TO DO. WE ARE STILL THE STRONGEST FISCAL STATE IN AFRICA!
   THE CRISES WAS BASICALLY CREATED WHEN THE BOTTOM FELL OUT OF THE RESOURCE PRICES WITH DOWNTURNS IN DEVELOPED AS WELL AS DEVELOPING NATIONS AND HAS PERSISTED FOR A NUMBER OF YEARS. OUR GOVERNMENT WAS VERY LAX AND CONTINUED TO TRY TO SPEND OUR WAY OUT OF THE RECESSION ON BORROWED MONEY.
   WE CAN NOT REST ON OUR LAURELS NOW.
A GOOD MOVE WAS TO BRING MR GORDHAN BACK AS  THE MINISTER OF FINANCE. THE GOVERNMENT MUST CUT DOWN ON GRAFT WHICH REACHES FROM THE VERY HIGHEST ECHELONS OF STATE STRUCTURES TO THE LOWEST. THIS IS A SERIOUS MATTER. A GOOD START WAS MADE WHEN THE PUBLIC PROTECTOR MADE OUR STATE PRESIDENT PAY FOR PART OF THE UPGRADES TO HIS PRIVATE RESIDENCE.
    A MORE OMINOUS  SUBJECT WHICH WAS PUT ON THE BACK BURNER WAS THE SOCIALIST MINING CHARTER. IN ITS PRESENT FORM WHICH WOULD ALLOW THE STATE TO IMPOSE IMPOSSIBLE DEMANDS AND AND EVEN SEIZURE IF NOT MET SHOULD BE TOTALLY SCRAPPED,AS MINING COMPANIES CANNOT PAY WORKERS MORE OR CEDE MORE TO THE STATE TAKING THE STATES SHARE TO 50% AS PRICES DECLINE. NO NEW MINES ARE BEEN DEVELOPED AS THIS REQUIRES BILLIONS OF AMERICAN DOLLARS AND WHO WOULD INVEST IN SUCH AN UNCERTAIN COUNTRY,IF THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF THOSE ASSESTS BEEN CONFISCATED ?
AFTER ALL IT TAKE MANY YEARS TO BRING MINES TO PROFITABILITY.
  ANOTHER DUMB MOVE,  IN ANOTHER BILL STILL IN THE MAKING IS TO FORCE MINING COMPANIES AT THIS CRITICAL TIME TO KEEP A CERTAIN AMOUNT OF THEIR PRODUCTS BACK FOR FURTHER BENEFICATION HERE BEFOR EXPORTING THEM. THIS QUOTA WILL BE DECIDED BY TECHNOCRATS OF THE RULING PARTY. THIS IS SUPPOSED TO BE TO CREATE JOBS, BUT SUCH BENEFICATION IS USUALLY HIGHLY SOPHISCATED,REQUIRING SKILLED WORKERS FROM OUTSIDE OUR REGION , IS UNLIKELY TO CREATE JOBS AND WORST OF ALL , WHERE WOULD WE SELL THESE PRODUCTS?
IN THE COMING MONTHS I SHALL ENDEVOUR TO REPORT ON POSITIVE ASPECTS OF OUR EVENTUAL  RECOVERY WHICH IS A MUST.
 1 THE NEWEST ADDITIONS TO PAGES ARE MENTIONED AT THE TOP OF THE INDEX ABOVE.
 2 SEE THE ADDITIONAL NEW SMALL CAP WINTER  AND YEAR  LISTS ABOVE
3 Whilst we wait for Brexit to play itself out on the 24 June 2016 maybe visit our revamped site at http://paws2012.blogspot.com for a gentler look at life !

Wednesday, May 4, 2016

SELL IN MAY ?

and go away! Not really ,but do note that resources such as gold ,coal and platinum group metals have soared in the last couple of months   , coming off lows and driven by speculators.
There is really no sign that there is an increased demand at  this stage. The recovery continues, but at a snails pace.
Best to wait till August before entering any large buying moves.